據油價網 5月26日報道，歐佩克+組織的六名消息人士周四對路透社表示，預計該組織下周在決定7月產量水平時，將批準石油產量每月適度增長。

自去年決定逐步恢復市場供應以來，由沙特阿拉伯等領導的歐佩克+沒有改變路線，并每月將產量提高約40萬桶/天，直到解除2020年4月全球疫情封鎖高峰期間宣布的所有1000萬桶/天的減產。

歐佩克一直堅持適度增產，即便是在油價因其關鍵成員國發生地緣政治沖突而飆升至每桶100美元之后。該組織說，它認為市場是一個平衡的市場，價格飆升是“地緣政治局勢”的結果。

5月初，歐佩克+同意維持其生產計劃不變，目標是在6月將原油產量提高43.2萬桶/天，此舉被市場普遍預期。這是自地緣政治沖突發生以來的第三次歐佩克+會議。連續第三個月，歐佩克在又一次創紀錄的短時間會議上的新聞稿中寫道：“人們注意到，持續的石油市場基本面和對前景的共識指向一個平衡的市場。”

該聯盟拒絕了主要石油進口國要求采取更多措施降低高油價的呼吁。

沙特外交大臣本周在達沃斯談到了增加供應的呼吁，他說：“這比把桶運到市場要復雜得多。”

他補充說：“我們的評估是，目前的石油供應實際上是相對平衡的。”

一位消息人士在談到即將于6月2日舉行的會議時告訴路透社：“為什么要改變完美的做法?”

該消息人士補充說：“我們將宣布，我們將增加43.2萬桶/天的產量，即使我們不再有能力這么做。”

雖然歐佩克+堅持其每月適度增產的政策，但許多成員國并未按配額生產，該組織的總產量估計為每日低于配額約250萬桶。

季廷偉 摘譯自 油價網

原文如下：

OPEC+ Unlikely To Boost Oil Production More Than Planned

The OPEC+ group is expected to rubberstamp next week its moderate monthly increases in oil production when it decides output levels for July, six sources at OPEC+ told Reuters on Thursday.

OPEC+, led by Saudi Arabia, has not changed course since it decided last year to gradually return supply to the market, and raise production by around 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) every month until it unwinds all the 10 million bpd cuts announced in April 2020 at the peak COVID lockdowns globally. 

The alliance has been sticking to modest production rises even after oil prices spiked to more than $100 per barrel after a key member of the pact. The group says that it sees the market as a balanced one, and price surges are the result of the “geopolitical situation.”

In early May, OPEC+ agreed to leave its production plan unchanged, aiming to boost crude oil production in June by 432,000 bpd, in a move widely expected by the market. This was the third OPEC+ meeting since the war. For a third consecutive month, OPEC’s press release on another record short meeting read that “it was noted that continuing oil market fundamentals and the consensus on the outlook pointed to a balanced market.”

The alliance has resisted calls from major oil importers to do more to lower the high oil prices.

Commenting on the calls to boost supply more than planned, Saudi Foreign Minister,  said in Davos this week that “It’s much more complex than just bringing barrels to the market.”

“Our assessment is that actually oil supply right now is relatively in balance,” the minister added, as carried by Bloomberg. 

Commenting on the upcoming meeting on June 2, one source told Reuters: “Why change what works perfectly?”

“We will announce that we are going to increase our production by 432,000 bpd even if we are no longer able to do so,” the source added.

While OPEC+ is sticking to its policy of modest monthly increases, many of its members are not pumping to their quotas and the group overall is estimated to be around 2.5 million bpd below its quota.