據(jù)管道&天然氣雜志網(wǎng)4月19日路透社報(bào)道，周二，美國(guó)天然氣期貨價(jià)格下跌10%，這是一次技術(shù)性調(diào)整，得益于對(duì)寒潮的預(yù)期導(dǎo)致價(jià)格在上一交易日飆升至13年來(lái)的峰值后，天氣前景略微轉(zhuǎn)暖。

截至美國(guó)東部時(shí)間上午10:57（格林威治標(biāo)準(zhǔn)時(shí)間14:57），即月天然氣期貨價(jià)格下跌10%，至每百萬(wàn)英熱單位7.033美元，周一創(chuàng)下2008年9月以來(lái)的最高水平。

數(shù)據(jù)提供商Refinitiv的分析師John Abeln表示，這主要是一個(gè)動(dòng)量問(wèn)題，是對(duì)過(guò)去一周價(jià)格大幅上漲的修正……市場(chǎng)基本面無(wú)法支撐如此高的價(jià)格。并補(bǔ)充道，過(guò)去12個(gè)小時(shí)的天氣發(fā)生了變化，兩周的天氣預(yù)報(bào)將有所轉(zhuǎn)暖。

據(jù)數(shù)據(jù)提供商Refinitiv估計(jì)，未來(lái)兩周美國(guó)本土48個(gè)州將有130個(gè)采暖度日數(shù)(HDD)，低于昨日預(yù)測(cè)的156個(gè)，但略高于30年同期126個(gè)的正常水平。

HDD用于估計(jì)家庭和企業(yè)供暖的需求，測(cè)量每天平均溫度低于65華氏度(18攝氏度)的度數(shù)。

與此同時(shí)，根據(jù)Refinitiv的數(shù)據(jù)顯示，美國(guó)本土48個(gè)州的天然氣日均產(chǎn)量從3月份的937立方英尺上升到4月份的945億立方英尺，但低于去年12月份963立方英尺的月度紀(jì)錄。

Abeln表示，生產(chǎn)水平無(wú)疑是近期至中期的重點(diǎn)……盡管產(chǎn)量反彈是確定無(wú)疑的，但反彈的速度仍是非常未知的，未來(lái)幾個(gè)月市場(chǎng)將真正關(guān)注這一點(diǎn)。

郝芬 譯自 管道&天然氣雜志網(wǎng)

原文如下：

US Natgas Futures Beat Sharp Retreat, Shed 10%

U.S. natural gas futures fell 10% on Tuesday, in a technical correction aided by a shift to a slightly warmer weather outlook after expectations of a cold snap sent prices soaring to an over 13-year peak in the last session.

Front-month gas futures slipped 10% to $7.033 per million British thermal units as of 10:57 a.m. EDT (1457 GMT), having scaled a peak since September 2008 on Monday.

"It's mostly an issue of momentum and a correction to the huge run-up in prices over the past week... Prices that high are not supported by the market fundamentals," said John Abeln, an analyst with data provider Refinitiv,

There has been a shift in the weather over the past 12 hours, with the 2-week forecasts shifting somewhat warmer, Abeln added.

Data provider Refinitiv estimated 130 heating degree days (HDDs) over the next two weeks in the Lower 48 U.S. states, slipping from yesterday's outlook of 156 HDDs, though slightly higher than the 30-year norm of 126 HDDs for this time of year.

HDDs, used to estimate demand to heat homes and businesses, measure the number of degrees a day's average temperature is below 65 Fahrenheit (18 Celsius).

Meanwhile, data from Refinitiv showed average gas output in the U.S. Lower 48 states rose to 94.5 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) so far in April from 93.7 Bcf/d in March, down from December's monthly record of 96.3 Bcf/d.

"Production levels are definitely the key focus in the near to medium term... While a production rebound is assured, the speed of that rebound is very much unknown, and the markets will really be watching that in the months to come," Abeln said.