據(jù)世界石油網(wǎng)4月18日?qǐng)?bào)道，美國(guó)原油產(chǎn)量的增長(zhǎng)速度將比此前預(yù)期的更慢，因?yàn)轫?yè)巖油生產(chǎn)商在通貨膨脹猖獗的情況下努力應(yīng)對(duì)更高的生產(chǎn)和勞動(dòng)力成本。

根據(jù)美國(guó)能源情報(bào)署(Energy Information Administration)的數(shù)據(jù)顯示，2022年的日均產(chǎn)量預(yù)計(jì)將達(dá)到1201萬(wàn)桶，而此前的預(yù)測(cè)為1203萬(wàn)桶。

此次修訂正值美國(guó)政府努力遏制因能源成本上漲而引發(fā)的通脹飆升之際。由于地緣政治危機(jī)限制了生產(chǎn)大國(guó)對(duì)全球市場(chǎng)的原油出口，而石油輸出國(guó)組織(OPEC)及其盟國(guó)難以實(shí)現(xiàn)產(chǎn)量目標(biāo)，油價(jià)飆升至100美元以上。與此同時(shí)，由于投資者向美國(guó)許多上市石油生產(chǎn)商施壓，要求它們提高回報(bào)率，因此與之前的價(jià)格繁榮相比，美國(guó)許多上市石油生產(chǎn)商的增產(chǎn)速度更加溫和。

EIA預(yù)計(jì)2023年的日產(chǎn)量將增加94萬(wàn)桶，達(dá)到日均1295萬(wàn)桶，而此前預(yù)測(cè)的日產(chǎn)量將增加96萬(wàn)桶。

石油日需求預(yù)計(jì)將增加80萬(wàn)桶，達(dá)到2058萬(wàn)桶，而不是增加87萬(wàn)桶。

郝芬 譯自 世界石油網(wǎng)

原文如下：

U.S. crude output will rise at slower-than-expected pace, EIA says

U.S. crude output will grow at a more diminished pace than previously expected as shale producers grapple with higher production and labor costs amid rampant inflation. 

Production in 2022 is now expected to average 12.01 million barrels a day compared to the previous forecast of 12.03 million barrels a day, according to the Energy Information Administration. 

The revisions come as the Administration struggles to contain surging inflation stoked by rising energy costs. Oil skyrocketed above $100 as the war has limited crude exports into the global market while OPEC and its allies struggle to meet production targets. Meanwhile, many publicly traded oil producers in the U.S. have increased production at a more moderate pace compared with previous price booms as investors pressure them to boost returns.  

For 2023, the EIA expects production to rise by 940,000 barrels a day to average 12.95 million, compared to its previous forecast for a rise of 960,000 barrels a day.

Oil demand is expected to rise 800,000 barrels a day to 20.58 million versus an increase of 870,000.