據(jù)世界石油2月15日消息稱(chēng)，數(shù)據(jù)分析公司GlobalData表示，上游行業(yè)預(yù)計(jì)將在未來(lái)四年內(nèi)主導(dǎo)英國(guó)的新項(xiàng)目數(shù)量，占預(yù)計(jì)在此期間啟動(dòng)的項(xiàng)目總數(shù)的70%以上。

GlobalData的報(bào)告《到2026年歐洲石油和天然氣項(xiàng)目展望——所有新建和擴(kuò)建項(xiàng)目的發(fā)展階段、產(chǎn)能、資本支出和承包商細(xì)節(jié)》顯示，預(yù)計(jì)將有105個(gè)項(xiàng)目在英國(guó)開(kāi)始運(yùn)營(yíng)。其中，上游(油田)項(xiàng)目數(shù)量最多，為77個(gè)，中游項(xiàng)目22個(gè)，煉油和石化項(xiàng)目分別為4個(gè)和2個(gè)。

GlobalData 石油和天然氣分析師 Teja Pappoppula 表示：“在英國(guó)，只有上游（油田）行業(yè)仍有巨大的發(fā)展空間。北海淺水區(qū)繼續(xù)為投資者提供重要的機(jī)會(huì)，并且是該國(guó)即將到來(lái)的油氣生產(chǎn)項(xiàng)目的重點(diǎn)領(lǐng)域。盡管 2020 年因新冠疫情而放緩，但英國(guó)北海仍在計(jì)劃幾個(gè)新項(xiàng)目，并有可能部分抵消該國(guó)的產(chǎn)量下降。”

在英國(guó)即將投產(chǎn)的項(xiàng)目中，Rose Bank是一個(gè)關(guān)鍵項(xiàng)目，總產(chǎn)能為12.1萬(wàn)桶油當(dāng)量/天。該項(xiàng)目位于設(shè)得蘭群島西部的深水區(qū)，將開(kāi)發(fā)大量未開(kāi)發(fā)的石油和天然氣資源，并為英國(guó)的能源安全做出貢獻(xiàn)。

Pappoppula表示:“英國(guó)大部分即將投產(chǎn)的項(xiàng)目仍處于可行性或前端工程設(shè)計(jì)(FEED)階段。英國(guó)近期的油氣產(chǎn)量前景取決于這些項(xiàng)目的成功實(shí)施，因?yàn)橐恍┈F(xiàn)有的成熟油田的產(chǎn)量隨著其壽命的結(jié)束而持續(xù)下降。因此，如果即將到來(lái)的項(xiàng)目也不成功，那么產(chǎn)量將進(jìn)一步下降。”

曹海斌 摘譯自 世界石油

原文如下：

Globaldata: Upstream sector dominates UK oil and gas projects starts by 2026

The upstream sector is forecasted to dominate the upcoming projects count in the UK during the next four years, accounting for more than 70% of the total projects starts anticipated during that time, says GlobalData, a data and analytics company.

GlobalData’s report, ‘Europe Oil and Gas Projects Outlook to 2026 - Development Stage, Capacity, Capex and Contractor Details of All New Build and Expansion Projects,’ reveals that 105 projects are expected to commence operations in the UK. Out of these, upstream (fields) projects would be the highest with 77, midstream with 22, with refinery and petrochemicals at four and two, respectively.

“In the UK, only the upstream (fields) sector continues to offer significant scope for development,” said Teja Pappoppula, Oil & Gas Analyst at GlobalData. “Shallow waters of the North Sea continue to provide significant opportunities to investors and is the focal area for upcoming oil and gas production projects in the country. Despite the COVID-induced slowdown in 2020, several new projects are being planned in the UK North Sea and have the potential to partially offset production declines in the country.”

Among the upcoming production projects in the UK, Rose Bank is a key project with a total production capacity of 121 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day. Proposed in deep waters of West of Shetland, the project would unlock significant underdeveloped oil and gas resources and contribute to the UK energy security.

“The majority of the upcoming production projects in the UK are still in feasibility or Front End Engineering Design (FEED) stages,” Pappoppula said. “The near-term oil and gas production outlook in the UK is dependent on the successful execution of these projects, as production from several existing matured fields continues to decline due to reaching their end-of-life cycle. As a result, if upcoming projects are also unsuccessful then production will decline further.”