據(jù)油價(jià)網(wǎng)2021年8月6日?qǐng)?bào)道，全球著名商業(yè)咨詢服務(wù)多元化供應(yīng)商IHS Markit在本周的一項(xiàng)新研究中表示，在近期和長(zhǎng)期內(nèi)，天然氣都可能成為減排的支柱。
盡管許多分析師和凈零倡導(dǎo)者已經(jīng)開(kāi)始質(zhì)疑天然氣在全球減排中的作用，但I(xiàn)HS Markit卻持有不同觀點(diǎn)。
根據(jù)這份題為《可持續(xù)的火焰：天然氣在凈零排放中的作用》的研究報(bào)告，在短期內(nèi)，天然氣可以支持及早采取行動(dòng)，取代污染更嚴(yán)重的煤炭和石油。 更重要的是，從長(zhǎng)期來(lái)看，天然氣基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施可以作為運(yùn)載低碳燃料的“預(yù)建”。
IHS Markit在一份新聞稿中表示：“天然氣基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施的固有多功能性——特別是它在未來(lái)可轉(zhuǎn)換為運(yùn)載低碳燃料的能力——為天然氣長(zhǎng)期成為‘脫碳的第二個(gè)支柱’創(chuàng)造了機(jī)會(huì)。”
IHS Markit說(shuō)，從長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)來(lái)看，天然氣可以用于許多行業(yè)，包括發(fā)電、鋼鐵生產(chǎn)、卡車、氫氣生產(chǎn)和氨生產(chǎn)，以降低排放強(qiáng)度。
IHS Markit表示，盡管成本差別很大，但如果碳價(jià)格在每噸40美元至60美元之間，許多天然氣的擬議用途都是可行的，這將接近目前某些市場(chǎng)的水平。
IHS Markit全球和可再生天然氣副總裁Shankari Srinivasan表示：“改造基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施存在技術(shù)挑戰(zhàn)，但成本雖然很高，但仍低于建造全新設(shè)施。”
IHS Markit全球天然氣首席策略師邁克爾·斯托帕德表示：“可再生能源產(chǎn)能將繼續(xù)增長(zhǎng)，電氣化將擴(kuò)大覆蓋范圍，電池存儲(chǔ)的改進(jìn)將使脫碳電網(wǎng)更加可靠。”
斯托帕德補(bǔ)充說(shuō)：“但向低碳天然氣供應(yīng)的過(guò)渡也將需要服務(wù)于電氣化和電線無(wú)法覆蓋的行業(yè)。”
李峻 編譯自 油價(jià)網(wǎng)
原文如下：
IHS Markit: Natural Gas Is Crucial In Energy Transition
Natural gas could become a pillar of emissions reduction both in the near and long term, IHS Markit said in a new study this week.
While many analysts and net-zero advocates have started to question the role of natural gas in global emissions reductions, IHS Markit has a different view.
According to the study, ‘A Sustainable Flame: The Role of Gas in Net Zero,’ natural gas could support in the short term early action of switching from the more polluting coal and oil. More importantly, in the longer term, gas infrastructure could act as a “pre-build” for carrying low-carbon fuels.
“The inherent versatility of gas infrastructure—particularly its ability to be converted to carry low-carbon fuels in the future—creates an opportunity for gas to be a “second pillar of decarbonization” over the long-term,” IHS Markit said in a press release.
In the long term, gas could be used in many sectors—including power generation, steel production, trucks, hydrogen production, and ammonia production—to cut emission intensity, the analytics firm said.
While costs would vary widely, many of the proposed uses of natural gas could be viable with a carbon price between $40 and $60 per ton, which would be close to levels already found in some markets today, according to IHS Markit.
“Repurposing infrastructure has technical challenges but the costs, while significant, are still lower than building entirely new facilities,” said Shankari Srinivasan, vice president, global and renewable gas at IHS Markit.
“Renewable capacity will continue to grow, electrification will broaden its reach and improvements in battery storage will make a decarbonized grid more reliable,” Michael Stoppard, chief strategist, global gas, IHS Markit, said.
“But the transition to a low-carbon gas supply will also be needed to serve the sectors beyond the reach of electrification and wires,” Stoppard added.
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