???? 據彭博社3月4日報道，石油交易價格接近每桶61美元，交易員們正在等待周四晚些時候舉行的關鍵的歐佩克+產量政策會議，對于該組織將為快速緊縮的市場帶回多少供應，當前并沒有明確的方向。

????西德克薩斯中質原油(West Texas Intermediate)價格在周三上漲2.6%后下跌0.4%，周三美國燃料庫存大幅下降提振了價格。一名代表說，歐佩克領導人沙特阿拉伯和俄羅斯周三舉行會談，尋求在產量問題上達成共識。利雅得敦促各方謹慎行事，但莫斯科方面尋求增加供應。

????在歐佩克及其盟國削減集體石油產量以推動受疫情影響的市場重新平衡之后，原油價格今年飆升。積極的供應管理幫助消耗了庫存，而全球需求隨著疫苗的推出而復蘇。這引發了人們的普遍預期:作為全球能源市場最大的參與者，將放松能源供應限制。

????歐佩克資深觀察人士仍預計該組織還會增加一些產量，產量維持在當前水平的可能性很小。這場辯論涉及兩方面:首先，歐佩克是否會在4月份繼續提高50萬桶的日產量?第二，沙特阿拉伯將如何逐步取消每天100萬桶的自愿額外減產?

????這次事關重大的會議召開的背景是，有一系列跡象表明石油消費正在好轉。最近的數據顯示，隨著各州重新開放，美國的通勤正慢慢恢復正常，而人們待在家里的比率降至11月12日以來的最低水平。

????王佳晶 摘譯自 彭博社

????原文如下：

????Oil Market Counts Down to Critical OPEC+ Meet With WTI Near $61

????Oil traded near $61 a barrel as traders waited for a critical OPEC+ production-setting meeting later Thursday with no clear steer as to how much supply the cartel will bring back to a fast-tightening market.

????West Texas Intermediate fell 0.4% after rising 2.6% Wednesday, when prices got a lift from a slump in U.S. fuel inventories. Group leaders Saudi Arabia and Russia held talks Wednesday seeking common ground on output as Riyadh urges caution but Moscow seeks to raise supply, according to a delegate.

????Crude has surged this year after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies slashed collective output to drive a rebalancing of the pandemic-roiled market. The aggressive supply management has helped to drain inventories, while worldwide demand recovers with the roll-out of vaccines. That’s spurred widespread expectations that the single largest actor in the global energy market will now loosen the taps.

????Veteran OPEC-watchers still expect some extra barrels from the group, and there’s little chance output will be held at current levels. There are two elements to its debate: first, will the cartel proceed with a 500,000 barrel-a-day collective output hike in April? And second, how will Saudi Arabia phase out the extra cut of 1 million barrels a day it’s been making voluntarily?

????The backdrop to the high-stakes meeting is a steady procession of indicators that oil consumption is on the mend. Among recent figures, data showed U.S. commutes are slowly returning to normal as states reopen, while the rate at which people are staying home fell to the lowest since Nov. 12.