???? 據(jù)2月5日MENAFN消息：荷蘭皇家殼牌首席執(zhí)行官本·范·伯登表示，預(yù)計(jì)到2022年，全球石油需求將恢復(fù)到疫情爆發(fā)前水平。
????殼牌公司高管表示，石油消費(fèi)的全面恢復(fù)將不得不等待航空業(yè)的復(fù)蘇。分析師認(rèn)為航空燃料需求是拖累全球石油需求復(fù)蘇的主要因素。
????國際能源署(IEA)去年12月表示，今年與疫情前水平相比，航空燃油的持續(xù)低需求將占今年310萬桶/天石油需求缺口的80％。
????目前，世界石油消費(fèi)仍比2019年水平落后約5%至7%，且全球燃料需求的復(fù)蘇喜憂參半。
????不過，這位高管仍然樂觀地認(rèn)為，全球石油需求將在今年下半年強(qiáng)勁復(fù)蘇，并在明年達(dá)到某種正常水平。
????范伯登發(fā)表此番言論之前，殼牌公司宣布去年利潤暴跌87%，低于分析師的預(yù)期。
????CMC Markets首席市場分析師Michael Hewson表示:“無論從哪個(gè)角度看，第四季度的數(shù)據(jù)都令人失望；產(chǎn)量下降，現(xiàn)金流減少，凈負(fù)債增加。”盡管采取了強(qiáng)硬且果斷的措施，但現(xiàn)實(shí)情況是，這些數(shù)字并沒有多少值得歡呼的地方。
????馮娟 摘譯自 MENAFN
????原文如下：
????Shell Sees Return To 'Normal' Oil Demand In 2022
????Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE:RDS.A) expects global oil demand to return to some sort of normalcy next year, chief executive Ben van Beurden said on Thursday as the supermajor reported another set of weak Big Oil results affected by the pandemic.
????"I believe 2022 is going to be sort of back to normal' regarding global oil demand rebounding to the levels seen before the pandemic," Argus quoted van Beurden as saying.
????Full recovery of oil consumption will have to wait for a recovery in the aviation industry, Shell's top executive said.
????"Aviation will be a very significant contributor to that remaining recovery that we need to see," said van Beurden, echoing estimates from analysts who see jet fuel demand as the main drag on global oil demand recovery.
????Continued low demand for jet fuel will account for 80 percent of the 3.1-million-bpd gap in oil demand this year compared to pre-pandemic levels, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in December.
????Currently, world oil consumption is still lagging behind 2019 levels by around 5-7 percent, Shell's van Beurden said, as carried by Argus. Right now, there is a mixed picture of recovery in fuel demand around the world, with consumption in China very strong, according to Shell's CEO.
????Still, the executive is optimistic that global oil demand will see a strong recovery in the second half of this year and reach some sort of normalcy next year.
????Van Beurden was speaking after Shell announced an 87-percent plunge in profits for last year, missing analyst estimates.
????Commenting on the results, Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets, said："Whichever way you look at it these Q4 numbers are disappointing; lower production volumes, reduced cash flow and a rise in net debt." While CEO Ben van Buerden may point to a 'extraordinary year', and the implementation of tough but decisive actions, the reality is there's not a lot to cheer in these numbers.
