據(jù)烴加工網(wǎng)7月7日報道，油價7月7日攀升約2%，至6周以來高點，因市場對供應(yīng)的擔憂超過了進一步加息可能減緩經(jīng)濟增長和減少石油需求的擔憂。

美國東部時間7月7日下午1時39分（格林尼治時間17時39分），布倫特原油期貨價格上漲1.41美元，至每桶77.93美元，漲幅為1.8%。美國WTI上漲1.51美元至73.31美元，漲幅2.1%。

兩個基準指數(shù)都有望創(chuàng)下5月24日以來的最高收盤價，本周都上漲了約4%。

OANDA高級市場分析師厄拉姆表示，7月7日之前左右一周的油價反彈相當強勁，并受到了動力的支撐，此外還有新一輪減產(chǎn)對市場的影響。

兩大主要石油出口國當周宣布了新的減產(chǎn)計劃，使歐佩克+、歐佩克及其盟國的總?cè)諟p產(chǎn)量達到500萬桶左右，約占全球石油需求的5%。

美國金融服務(wù)公司Morning star的分析師在一份報告中表示，歐佩克+減產(chǎn)預(yù)計將收緊市場，推動2023年下半年的供應(yīng)短缺，支撐油價上漲。

接近歐佩克的消息人士稱，歐佩克可能會對明年的石油需求增長保持樂觀的看法。

據(jù)石油分析公司Vortexa表示，目前在埃及紅海港口Ain Sukhna附近的浮動儲存設(shè)施中有1050萬桶沙特原油，比6月中旬減少了近一半。

能源服務(wù)公司貝克休斯表示，當周美國能源公司10周來首次增加油氣鉆機數(shù)量，這是自2016年10月以來天然氣鉆機的最大單周增幅。

在挪威，由于人手短缺，Equinor ASA暫停了北海Oseberg East油田的生產(chǎn)。

美元7月7日跌至兩周低點，此前數(shù)據(jù)顯示美國就業(yè)增長低于預(yù)期但仍足夠強勁，或促使美聯(lián)儲如其所暗示的那樣，在本月稍晚時恢復加息。

美元走弱使得其他貨幣持有者的購買原油價格更便宜，這可能會提振石油需求。

荷蘭國際集團(ING)首席國際經(jīng)濟學家James Knightley在一份報告中表示，就業(yè)報告弱于普遍預(yù)期，為近期的市場走勢減弱了一些動力，但勞動力市場仍然過于緊張，因此預(yù)測美聯(lián)儲將于7月加息。

根據(jù)芝交所的分析師FedWatch Tool顯示，市場預(yù)測美聯(lián)儲在7月25日至26日會議上加息25個基點的概率目前在95%左右，高于就業(yè)及經(jīng)濟數(shù)據(jù)公布前的92%。

借貸成本上升可能會減緩經(jīng)濟增長，減少石油需求。

在歐洲，數(shù)十年來居高不下的通脹率和地緣政治沖突的影響迫使企業(yè)凍結(jié)招聘和裁員。

在德國，經(jīng)濟迅速復蘇的可能性似乎較小，因為數(shù)據(jù)顯示工業(yè)生產(chǎn)意外下降。

郝芬 譯自 烴加工網(wǎng)

原文如下:

Oil prices up 2% to 6-week high on supply concerns

Oil prices climbed about 2% to a six-week high on Friday as supply concerns outweighed fears that further interest rate hikes could slow economic growth and reduce demand for oil.

Brent futures rose $1.41, or 1.8%, to $77.93 a barrel by 1:39 p.m. EDT (1739 GMT). U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose $1.51, or 2.1%, to $73.31.

Both benchmarks were on track for their highest closes since May 24 with both up about 4% for the week.

"The rally over the last week or so ... has been quite strong and backed by momentum - as well as fresh cuts ," said Craig Erlam, a senior market analyst at OANDA.

Top two oil exporters announced fresh output cuts this week bringing total reductions by OPEC+, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, to around 5 million barrels per day (bpd), or about 5% of global oil demand.

"OPEC+ production cuts are expected to tighten the market, driving supply deficits in the second half of 2023, supporting higher oil prices," analysts at U.S. financial services company Morningstar said in a note.

OPEC will likely maintain an upbeat view on oil demand growth for next year, sources close to OPEC said.

The latest pledge to reduce oil exports will not require a similar cut in production, a government source told Reuters.

Oil analytics firm Vortexa said there are currently 10.5 million barrels of Saudi crude in floating storage off the Egyptian Red Sea port of Ain Sukhna, down by almost half from mid-June.

In the U.S., energy firms this week added oil and natural gas rigs for the first time in 10 weeks, due to the biggest weekly increase in gas rigs since October 2016, according to energy services firm Baker Hughes Co.

In Norway, Equinor ASA paused production at its Oseberg East oil field in the North Sea due to staffing shortages.

Also supporting crude prices, the U.S. dollar, fell to a two-week low on Friday after data showed U.S. job growth was lower than expected but still strong enough to likely lead the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume raising interest rates later this month as it has signaled.

A weaker dollar makes crude cheaper for holders of other currencies, which could boost oil demand.

"A softer jobs report than widely expected has taken some of the steam out of recent market moves, but the labor market remains too tight ... A July rate hike is coming" from the U.S. Federal Reserve, James Knightley, chief international economist at ING, a bank, said in a note.

According to the CME Group Inc's FedWatch Tool, the probability that the Fed increases interest rates by 25 basis points at its July 25-26 meeting is now around 95%, up from 92% just prior to the data coming out.

Higher borrowing costs could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand.

In Europe, decades-high inflation and the impact of war has forced companies to impose hiring freezes and lay-offs.

In Germany, a swift economic recovery appeared less likely as data showed a surprise fall in industrial production.