據油價網5月29日消息稱，路透社專欄專家援引數據服務提供商路孚特的數據報道稱，隨著亞洲大國和印度煉油廠維修季結束，本月亞洲原油進口預計將環比增長8.6%。

此前，4月份亞洲原油進口量下降，總量降至七個月來的最低水平。這些數字引發了人們對石油需求前景的擔憂，因為亞洲的經濟指標也表明，疫情后的復蘇不如預期順利。

然而，下降的最大原因似乎是煉油廠維護，這是基于本月預計的強勁反彈，當時路孚特估計亞洲石油進口總額將達到2773萬桶/日。

具體而言，這家數據服務提供商預計，從產能大國的進口量預計將從上個月的174萬桶/日增加到200萬桶/日。

印度從第二大供應國沙特阿拉伯的進口量從4月份的69萬桶/日降至57萬桶/日，印度的第三大供應國伊拉克的進口量也是如此。

然而，這種威脅到底有多嚴重尚待觀察，因為盡管歐盟推行了綠色政策，但仍沒有太多替代燃料供應商來供應歐盟仍在消耗的燃料。

梁金燕 譯自 油價網

原文如下：

Asian Oil imports Set For A Rebound In May

Crude oil imports into Asia this month are expected to rise by 8.6% on the month as refineries in the big country and India exit maintenance season, Reuters’ Clyde Russell reported today, citing data from Refinitiv.

The rebound follows a decline in Asian crude imports in April when the total dropped to the lowest in seven months. The numbers sparked concern about the outlook for oil demand as Asian economic indicators also suggested a less smooth than expected post-pandemic recovery.

Yet it seems the biggest reason for the decline was refinery maintenance, based on the strong rebound expected for this month when Refinitiv estimates total Asian imports would hit 27.73 million barrels of oil daily.

imports from Saudi Arabia, the subcontinent’s second-largest supplier are seen falling to 570,000 bpd from 690,000 bpd in April, and so are imports from Iraq—India’s number-three supplier.

Meanwhile, Reuters’ Russell notes that India’s future fuel exports may be under threat as EU officials get uncomfortable that the fuels EU countries buy from India are probably produced from crude.

Just how serious this threat is, however, is yet to be seen because there are not a lot of alternative suppliers of the amounts of fuel the EU still consumes despite its green push.